Publications |
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Sliva, Amy, Scott Neal Reilly, Randy Casstevens, and John Chamberlain. "Tools for validating causal and predictive claims in social science models." Procedia Manufacturing 3 (2015): 3925-3932. |
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Abstract: We describe a suite of causal/predictive analysis techniques adapted from a variety of social, natural, and computational science applications, specifically chosen for their unique applicability to the problems of analyzing temporally offset causes and effects. In particular, we describe four methods for analyzing predictive/causal claims: (1) Granger causality is a well-established method from econometrics that can identify relationships between temporally offset causes and effects when the offsets are fixed; (2) forward-only dynamic time-warping (DTW) addresses uneven temporal offsets; (3) convergent cross mapping (CCM) can be used to analyze bi-directional causality produced by the feedback relationships present in many social systems; (4) finally, we describe a novel feature-based qualitative pattern-recognition approach to identify and explain qualitative causal/predictive relationships that don't fit more traditional correlation-based analysis techniques. |
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List of all my publications |
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Speaking |
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Northeastern ACM Speaker Series
Date: 28 April 2003
Topic: The Importance of Robotics Development to Our Future
Abstract: It is no secret that future productivity depends on automation. What is less recognized is the importance of physical automation--robotics--to our future. As programmers we focus on informational automation and tend to see robotics as a sideline, one of many specialities, and one that is even a little distant because it appears hardware dependent. This may be an error in perception. Robotics is increasingly at the focal point of human development and software development is the single most important component of robotics. This talk will detail the pivotal role robotics has in our future and why it is crucial for computer scientists to take the lead in physical
automation as well as informational automation.
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All my speaking engagements |
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